Ukraine-Russia war: Latest updates (2024)

Key points
  • Putin: We want to avoid global confrontation, but nuclear forces ready if needed
  • Home Office expels Russian diplomat who was 'undeclared military intelligence officer'
  • Dominic Waghorn:Russia may have crossed the line - but UK move to expel attache increases risk of dangerous escalation
  • Ed Conway:Russian oil still seeping into UK - the reasons why sanctions are not working

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09:10:34

Watch: 'Combat forces are always ready'

Vladimir Putin used his Victory Day speech this morning to warn that Russia's combat forces were "always ready".

But he admitted the country was going through a "difficult period".

You can watch a segment from his speech here:

08:43:39

Putin: We want to avoid global confrontation, but nuclear forces ready if needed

We aren't bringing you live updates today, but here is the main story this morning.

Vladimir Putin has just finished speaking at Russia's annual Second World War victory parade.

The president, now in his fifth term, said that Russia will do all it could to avoid a global confrontation, amid rising rhetoric about a face-off with NATO.

Mr Putin, however, said it would not allow any nation or alliance to threaten Russia.

As he's said multiple times since he invaded Ukraine, the Russian leader warned the West that his nuclear forces were always at a state of combat readiness.

He was addressing scores of troops in Moscow's Red Square - here are the best images from the Russian capital...

20:00:01

Good evening

Thanks for following our live coverage, we'll be back soon with more live updates.

19:45:01

Europe 'should prepare' for more wars if Russia does not lose, Kosovo warns

Kosovo's foreign minister has said her country is convinced Russia must lose the war in Ukraine for conflict not to spread further in Europe.

Donika Gervalla-Schwarz said her young nation's support for Ukraine was unconditional - despite Kyiv not having recognised Kosovo's independence.

Ms Gervalla-Schwarzd her small Balkan nation, which declared its independence from Serbia in 2008, is repeatedly reminded of the aggressive intentions of both Serbia and its ally Russia.

"Ukraine hasn't recognised the Republic of Kosovo as a state, but we really believe that we know exactly what Ukraine is going through," she told The Associated Press in an interview.

"And we know that there is only one solution, not only for Ukraine, but for Europe," she said.

"It can only be Russia to lose the war and Ukraine to win this war. Otherwise, Europe should prepare for other conflicts in our continent."

The people of Kosovo were the targets of war crimes and other atrocities by Serbia's security forces in the 1990s, an experience that led Kosovo to seek independence.

"While Kosovo is a small state with very modest possibilities to help, we have tried to be very helpful with Ukraine and have not hesitated to show our unconditional support and sympathy to the people and to the state of Ukraine," Ms Gervalla-Schwarz said.

19:15:01

Cameron: UK measures on Russia send 'unequivocal message'

Lord Cameron has called the UK's measures on a Russian defence attache "an unequivocal message" to Moscow.

The foreign secretary was replying to James Cleverly's post on X in which he said the Home Office expelled a Russian defence attache as part of a series of measures against the country.

Other measures in the package include removing the diplomatic premises status from several Russian owned properties in the UK and capping the amount of time Russian diplomats can spend in the UK.

18:30:01

Hungary: We're staying out of 'crazy' NATO Ukraine support plan

Budapest is once again raising eyebrows across the world's biggest military alliance as it pledges to defy a NATO initiative.

The alliance's long-term plan to support Ukraine militarily was agreed in April, but was dubbed a "crazy mission" by Hungary's foreign minister today.

Under the plans, NATO would take over some coordination work from a US-led coalition known as the Ramstein group.

Discussing the plans today, Peter Szijjarto said: "Hungary will stay out of NATO's crazy mission despite all the pressure."

Relations between Budapest and NATO have soured because of Hungary's foot-dragging over the ratification of Sweden's NATO accession - finally passed by Budapest in March - and also over nationalist Prime Minister Viktor Orban's close ties with Moscow.

17:45:43

Russia vows 'appropriate response' after UK expulsion of defence attache

The Russian embassy in London has said there will be "an appropriate response" after Britain expelled a Russian defence attache.

The embassy said the restrictions that had been imposed were done under a "groundless and ridiculous pretext", according to Russian state news agencyTASS.

It comes after Russian foreign ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova was reported as telling journalists that the Kremlin will respond appropriately following the expulsion.

17:00:01

Analysis: Russia may have crossed the line - but UK move to expel attache increases risk of dangerous escalation

Dominic Waghorn, international affairs editor

It's always assumed defence attaches play some kind of role gatherling intelligence and that is generally tolerated by their host countries.

They could be gathering data about weapons production for instance or ship building but there is a line they are expected not to cross.

The assumption here is that the Russians have broken the rules of the game.

But the British government will have thought long and hard before expelling the Russian. It doesn't come without cost.

In their day jobs defence attaches play a crucial role in liaising with their hosts. That can be very important in terms of avoiding misunderstandings that could lead to unnecessary and dangerous escalation.

Losing Russia’s defence attache in London deprives the UK of one more line of liaison at a time when clear understanding and clarification could be essential to avoiding deepening conflict.

That is not ideal at a time of war.

What is not clear is how much these moves are connected specifically to the conduct of the Russians involved or should they actually be seen more as another chapter in the diplomatic war underway between Russia and the UK.

The UK has undoubtedly weakened Russia's ability to spy in the UK and gather intelligence but these measures will also affect Britain's ability to predict and avoid potential escalation.

That will be made even worse if Russia, as may be expected, responds with like-for-like retaliation

16:30:01

Children among seven injured by Russian shelling Kharkiv, governor says

Seven people have been injured by Russian shelling in eastern Kharkiv, according to the region's governor.

Oleg Synegubov said among those wounded was an eight-year-old girl andthree boys, two aged 14 and the other 15.

"Two [of the] boys are inserious condition, [the other] boy and [the] girl are in average condition," he said.

One 55-year-old civilian of unspecified gender was also hospitalised.

Two women had minor injuries.

16:10:01

'We will not tolerate Putin's efforts to undermine our nation,' Shapps says

Defence Secretary Grant Shapps has offered his thoughts on the expulsion of a Russian defence attache the government has accused of being an undeclared military intelligence officer.

"Today we've expelled Russia's defence attache who has been working as an intelligence officer for Putin in the UK," he said on X.

"We will not tolerate Putin’s efforts to undermine our nation and democracy and will continue to stand up for freedom here and in Ukraine."

Ukraine-Russia war: Latest updates (2024)

FAQs

How many troops has Russia lost since the invasion of Ukraine? ›

Since Mr. Putin launched a full-scale invasion in February 2022, at least 350,000 Russian troops have been killed or wounded, Defense Secretary Lloyd J. Austin III recently said. British estimates put the number of Russians killed or wounded at more than 500,000.

What happens if Russia wins the war? ›

A Russian victory and collapse of the Ukrainian state would have extremely grave consequences for Europe as well. For starters, we can expect tens of millions of new refugees. In the Ukrainian territories Russia has occupied—first in 2014 and then since 2022—the population is now a fraction of what it was before.

How long can Russia sustain war? ›

The authors concluded Russia could sustain its current rate of attrition for up to three years and maybe longer. The report also detailed how, despite international sanctions, Russia's economy had proved resilient and it had ramped up defense spending for 2024.

How many people died in the Ukraine war? ›

Casualties in the Russo-Ukrainian War include six deaths during the 2014 annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation, 14,200–14,400 military and civilian deaths during the War in Donbas, and up to 500,000 estimated casualties during the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

How many soldiers does Ukraine have left? ›

Comparison of the military capabilities of Russia and Ukraine as of 2024
IndicatorRussiaUkraine
Estimated available manpower69,432,47222,806,303
Active soldiers1,320,000900,000
Reserve forces2,000,0001,200,000
Paramilitary units250,000100,000
9 more rows
Apr 26, 2024

How many tanks has Ukraine lost in the war? ›

So while Ukraine has managed at least to maintain its overall tank inventory even after losing around 700 tanks in combat, according to Oryx, its tank needs are much greater today than they were in 2022. If every brigade had a single battalion with 31 tanks, Ukraine would need more than 3,000 tanks.

Could NATO defeat Russia without the US? ›

Yes, a European Nato could likely defeat a Russian attack on day one, but what about day one hundred? Europe must bolster its military capabilities and invest in areas currently underpinned by American support.

Can Russia afford to continue the war? ›

Russia's economy can't afford to win or lose the war in Ukraine, one economist says. That's because Russia can't afford the cost of rebuilding and securing Ukraine. The cost of repairing its own nation is already "massive," Renaud Foucart says.

What would happen if Ukraine surrendered? ›

In order of likelihood, the consequences may entail: A massive exodus (in the millions) of Ukrainians westward, leading to a refugee crisis in Europe and beyond. Significant violence and human rights abuses aimed at the Ukrainian population, including large-scale killing of civilians.

How much of Russia's military is left? ›

Russia's armed forces now have around 1.1 million active troops across all branches, according to the International Institute for Strategic Studies' 2024 Military Balance database, 500,000 of which are in the army. Moscow has another 1.5 million people in reserve across all services.

How long can Putin rule Russia? ›

A referendum was not legally required to enact the amendments, but holding one gave the changes legitimacy. As Putin was permitted two more consecutive terms without regard for his previous tenure, the 2020 constitutional amendment gave him legal authority to stay in office until 2036.

What is the most likely outcome of the Russia-Ukraine war? ›

Negotiated outcome most likely result of Russia-Ukraine war, major poll says. A negotiated outcome with Russia, as opposed to an outright Ukrainian military victory, is now seen as the most likely outcome by most Europeans, according to a major poll of 15 countries.

Why is Russia invading Ukraine? ›

Putin espoused irredentist views challenging Ukraine's right to exist, falsely claimed that Ukraine was governed by neo-Nazis persecuting the Russian minority, and said that Russia's goal was to "demilitarise and denazify" Ukraine.

How many Russians died in WWII? ›

World War II losses of the Soviet Union were about 27,000,000 both civilian and military from all war-related causes, although exact figures are disputed. A figure of 20 million was considered official during the Soviet era.

How many Americans died in Vietnam? ›

The Vietnam Conflict Extract Data File of the Defense Casualty Analysis System (DCAS) Extract Files contains records of 58,220 U.S. military fatal casualties of the Vietnam War. These records were transferred into the custody of the National Archives and Records Administration in 2008.

How much military equipment has Russia lost? ›

The IISS will publish its assessment of Russian equipment losses on 13 February with the release of The Military Balance 2024. The losses are estimated to include more than 3,000 armoured fighting vehicles in the past year alone and close to 8,800 since February 2022.

Has Russia lost 1140 soldiers and numerous vehicles in Ukraine? ›

Russian forces have lost about 1,140 soldiers, 53 artillery systems and 19 armoured combat vehicles over the past 24 hours. Details: The total combat losses of the Russian forces between 24 February 2022 and 30 June 2024 are estimated to be as follows [figures in parentheses represent the latest losses – ed.]:

How many troops does Russia and Ukraine have? ›

Ukraine has around 500,000 troops, including active-duty, reserve and paramilitary troops, according to analysts. By contrast, Russia has almost triple that number, with 1,330,000 active-duty, reserve and paramilitary troops — most of the latter from the Wagner Group.

How many troops did Russia lose during World war One? ›

Russian Empire Included in total are 1,451,000 killed or missing in action and died of wounds. The estimate of the 1,811,000 total Russian military and 1,500,00 civilian deaths was made by the Soviet demographer Boris Urlanis.

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